AI Futures Project publishes the AI 2027 scenario

The AI Futures Project released AI 2027, a detailed scenario forecast with alternative endings and supporting quantitative work. FutureSearch contributed forecasts on AI development and commercialization.

A published scenario, with uncertain outcomes

AI 2027 was publicly released on April 3, 2025. The AI Futures Project’s dated post describes a detailed scenario forecast and two alternative endings. A contemporary interview that day also identifies it as newly launched. The milestone is publication of that research narrative; the AI systems and future events it imagines are not recorded as observed outcomes. [1][4]

FutureSearch contributed forecasts on subjects including research automation and commercialization. Its research page is dated April 3, while its issued contribution announcement followed on April 4. The differing publication dates are preserved, and the forecasting assumptions remain open to disagreement and revision. [2][3]

Sources

  1. Our first project: AI 2027

    AI Futures Project · Apr 3, 2025

  2. AI 2027 Report: A Forecast Critique of the Superintelligence Timeline

    FutureSearch · Apr 3, 2025

  3. FutureSearch gives odds of runaway AI in new AI futurism report

    FutureSearch · Apr 4, 2025

  4. AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

    Dwarkesh Podcast · Apr 3, 2025