METR publishes its first independent assessment of AI R&D acceleration at Anthropic

METR estimated that Anthropic's capability gains on well-specified tasks have run about 1.9 times faster since October 2025 (95 percent interval 1.5 to 2.8), drawing on three unreleased models finished between July and October 2026. Anthropic redacted most of the evidence METR found most informative.